Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf0eb5e70c501f88825b770b3e53584b0dc13b9192244a1a95f6c360a1ddb52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 72c | 1,362$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 76c | 1,312$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 876.9$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 868.09$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 32c | 782.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 74c | 677.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 584.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 74c | 405.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 40c | 330.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 74c | 141$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 79c | 130.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 46c | 117.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 49c | 65.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 75c | 62.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 57.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Over | 26c | 57.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 65c | 46.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 76c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 68c | 25.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 72c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 77c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.