Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175a5e64f2ab5e2767905eeaf9bb306a2dc4cf3a6edb0f112342e6aaed019c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfB Stuttgartof VfB Stuttgart, MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed VfB Stuttgart | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 1,716$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.33 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 937.19$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 692.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 586.66$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.86 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 463.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 60c | 286.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked VfB Stuttgart | 66c | 187.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 61c | 102.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 89.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 37.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed VfB Stuttgart | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 26.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 59c | 19.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.