Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017da80568a1c2b1f17cf3c27b872018f832a9ef4e8e532f91a24155b5abdd3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 326.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 49c | 181$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed No | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 54.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 57c | 54.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 45.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked No | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.