Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dbefef5459a2357ba44e7611a8ee95471fa0bef6a557beef1c80dedc75f175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 12,417$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.95 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Aurora | 39c | 7,771$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora | 37c | 3,565$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.35 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 33c | 2,951$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BetBoom Team | 17c | 2,935$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.53 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora | 40c | 2,736$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 32c | 2,668$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.63 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 38c | 2,171$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.41 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 2,084$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Aurora | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora | 38c | 1,446$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.02 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 1,316$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.06 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora | 29c | 1,292$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.87 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 1,112$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.31 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 1,089$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 799.04$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.81 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 728.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 35c | 598.12$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.88 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 2c | 590.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BetBoom Team | 11c | 531.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Aurora | 75c | 515.72$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 43c | 513.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.92 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora | 28c | 495.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…ad1dbacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 487.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 458$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 439.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 438.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 38c | 395.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 343.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 32c | 337.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 336.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 332.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.42 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 59c | 325$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 299.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked BetBoom Team | 71c | 278.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 244.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 35c | 243.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 242.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Aurora | 17c | 239.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aurora | 28c | 238.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BetBoom Team | 10c | 234$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 220.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked BetBoom Team | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 197.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 181.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Aurora | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Aurora | 29c | 154.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora | 27c | 152.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 148.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 144.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 141.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked BetBoom Team | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Aurora | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 125.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 125.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Aurora | 29c | 117.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Aurora | 36c | 110.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Aurora | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Aurora | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 94.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 27c | 93.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…c4d0backed Aurora | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Aurora | 35c | 75.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 74.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 74.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…567abacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked Aurora | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a4b5backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 69.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Aurora | 23c | 69.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 69.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Aurora | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 31c | 52.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Aurora | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…a0c7backed Aurora | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Aurora | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked BetBoom Team | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 43.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…653ebacked Aurora | 36c | 42.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 41.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d964backed Aurora | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Aurora | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.