Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03af30bb2dcf8af8124ab5fc82353b35dec7dfdd12cc116c1f0b1f4217d66e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 40c | 14,227$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,506.5 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 8,747$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.81 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Aurora | 49c | 7,603$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.97 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 3,077$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.62 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 49c | 3,029$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 1,714$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.86 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 1,706$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Aurora | 38c | 1,112$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.14 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 1,084$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.06 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 880.28$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.98 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked BetBoom Team | 23c | 799.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 723.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 605.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked BetBoom Team | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 542.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora | 56c | 536.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 68c | 501.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 497$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 481.84$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 54c | 460.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 449.84$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 48c | 397.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aurora | 36c | 296.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 271.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 259.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 243.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 199.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked BetBoom Team | 28c | 191.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Aurora | 38c | 189.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…c4d0backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 170.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Aurora | 41c | 145.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 69c | 130$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 126.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed BetBoom Team | 16c | 124.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora | 31c | 104.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 59c | 79.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Aurora | 50c | 75.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Aurora | 43c | 64.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Aurora | 67c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Aurora | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 58.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 44.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Aurora | 38c | 41.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Aurora | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 38.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Aurora | 78c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Aurora | 42c | 24.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 23.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…a0c7backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Aurora | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 18.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.