CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57753669718677524ccec9f25a73287e6d6fd0b319d1c535d8d9ca4b37ec4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed FORZE Reload | 1c | 14,950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed FORZE Reload | 0c | 8,277$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 60c | 4,550$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sangal | 42c | 3,327$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 4c | 602$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sangal | 27c | 474.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.71 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 372.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 350.11$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sangal | 48c | 294$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Sangal | 43c | 272.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sangal | 34c | 203.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Sangal | 27c | 180$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Sangal | 49c | 134.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Sangal | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…3f1bbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 130.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Sangal | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 64.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 64.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Sangal | 46c | 63.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…6220backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 62.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 29c | 57.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…c180backed Sangal | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 46.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sangal | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Sangal | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sangal | 35c | 38.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 37.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Sangal | 47c | 37.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 36.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Sangal | 38c | 33.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Sangal | 51c | 31.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed Sangal | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f5c5backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 23.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Sangal | 79c | 22.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a4b5backed Sangal | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group StageSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.