Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd788c620207f2949e365e787d4546c4506a64402e325d5b28dd4b508f85bdac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pliskovaof Pliskova, Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stephens | 65c | 75,620$49,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,517.04 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pliskova | 34c | 26,555$8,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,623.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pliskova | 35c | 26,439$9,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,185.56 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Stephens | 69c | 21,118$14,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,570.18 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Pliskova | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pliskova | 32c | 7,420$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Pliskova | 35c | 6,769$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pliskova | 31c | 5,161$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.29 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pliskova | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pliskova | 31c | 4,953$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.57 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Stephens | 68c | 4,849$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Pliskova | 31c | 4,513$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.9 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pliskova | 41c | 4,187$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Stephens | 0c | 3,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Stephens | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Pliskova | 35c | 3,384$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stephens | 63c | 1,621$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stephens | 46c | 1,416$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Pliskova | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.62 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Stephens | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Pliskova | 35c | 1,150$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pliskova | 49c | 1,147$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Stephens | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.21 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Pliskova | 31c | 955.06$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.72 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stephens | 31c | 924.5$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Pliskova | 33c | 908.62$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.69 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stephens | 65c | 713.61$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.62 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Pliskova | 34c | 711$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stephens | 69c | 578.8$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Pliskova | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Stephens | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pliskova | 31c | 538.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.39 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Stephens | 67c | 487.5$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Stephens | 31c | 443.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Stephens | 63c | 361.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stephens | 63c | 343.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Pliskova | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Stephens | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Stephens | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stephens | 53c | 294.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Pliskova | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pliskova | 54c | 269$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Stephens | 67c | 260.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Pliskova | 34c | 222$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Pliskova | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Stephens | 15c | 126.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Stephens | 67c | 105$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Pliskova | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Stephens | 48c | 95.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…f972backed Stephens | 65c | 92.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Stephens | 49c | 91.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Stephens | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pliskova | 36c | 80.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Pliskova | 37c | 79.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pliskova | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Stephens | 66c | 71.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Pliskova | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Stephens | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pliskova | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Pliskova | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pliskova | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stephens | 36c | 54.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pliskova | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Pliskova | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Stephens | 70c | 47.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Pliskova | 46c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stephens | 26c | 42.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Pliskova | 43c | 40.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stephens | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Stephens | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Stephens | 64c | 36.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pliskova | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Pliskova | 43c | 33.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Stephens | 67c | 33.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Stephens | 36c | 33.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Pliskova | 60c | 31.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Stephens | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…b7b5backed Pliskova | 48c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Stephens | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Stephens | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stephens | 65c | 25.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…6112backed Stephens | 64c | 23.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Stephens | 66c | 21.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Stephens | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Pliskova | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Stephens | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Pliskova | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…4d3bbacked Stephens | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Pliskova vs. Stephens: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Pliskova vs. Stephens: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Pliskova vs. Stephens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs StephensPliskova won
- Set Handicap: Stephens (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)Pliskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.