Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Julia Grabher vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c91fac97d1beb19e69457b7645428642778d79fa74b93efd96055b77624fb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grabherof Grabher, Cocciaretto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grabher | 27c | 6,127$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.37 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cocciaretto | 74c | 5,464$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 2,744$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grabher | 31c | 2,000$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.25 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grabher | 29c | 1,161$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.44 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Grabher | 24c | 1,067$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.65 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cocciaretto | 68c | 694.68$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cocciaretto | 66c | 692.65$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.88 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grabher | 55c | 524.21$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cocciaretto | 72c | 461.16$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.76 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Cocciaretto | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grabher | 42c | 382$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cocciaretto | 71c | 357.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cocciaretto | 24c | 314.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grabher | 18c | 297.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grabher | 22c | 258.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.55 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Cocciaretto | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Cocciaretto | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Grabher | 22c | 189.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Cocciaretto | 74c | 162$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Cocciaretto | 73c | 134.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 126.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Grabher | 36c | 120.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Grabher | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Cocciaretto | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Cocciaretto | 67c | 88.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…22aabacked Cocciaretto | 74c | 75.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Grabher | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grabher | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Cocciaretto | 77c | 64.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Cocciaretto | 77c | 59.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grabher | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Grabher | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Cocciaretto | 76c | 40.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cocciaretto | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Cocciaretto | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Cocciaretto | 78c | 32.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Cocciaretto | 66c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Cocciaretto | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cocciaretto | 63c | 24.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Cocciaretto | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Cocciaretto | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Cocciaretto | 79c | 16.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Julia Grabher vs Elisabetta Cocciarettothis page
- Grabher vs. Cocciaretto: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs CocciarettoGrabher won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.