CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00b920cd4ae994439335c27ba9db6dfbb3fb67610852f3822e0d5848e7b5129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof Nuclear TigeRES, ARCRED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 5,083$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.72 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nuclear TigeRES | 0c | 4,664$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked ARCRED | 32c | 2,110$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.49 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ARCRED | 14c | 1,450$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked ARCRED | 32c | 1,347$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 4c | 1,339$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ARCRED | 14c | 897.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.49 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 31c | 647.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ARCRED | 34c | 613$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ARCRED | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ARCRED | 63c | 390.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ARCRED | 29c | 363.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed ARCRED | 7c | 359.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked ARCRED | 69c | 325.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 309.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed ARCRED | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 9c | 277.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed ARCRED | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked ARCRED | 35c | 254.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ARCRED | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 214.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed ARCRED | 10c | 210.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed ARCRED | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f65cbacked ARCRED | 11c | 182.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 144$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked ARCRED | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ARCRED | 36c | 136.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed ARCRED | 24c | 122.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked ARCRED | 32c | 117.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nuclear TigeRES | 10c | 111.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked ARCRED | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed ARCRED | 14c | 97.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 94.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed ARCRED | 65c | 85.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Nuclear TigeRES | 28c | 67.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…44edbacked ARCRED | 21c | 61.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +386.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed ARCRED | 69c | 53.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed ARCRED | 30c | 40.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked ARCRED | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…ebe7backed ARCRED | 71c | 34.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…2abfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ARCRED | 45c | 25.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…88dbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 74c | 17.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…f274backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed ARCRED | 78c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.