NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2615c1f02bebf3a873f14a185ab0a7a83b570564bc5e0febfc39de72813d8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Knicks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 56c | 7,172$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 44c | 5,654$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…20b2backed Suns | 54c | 4,620$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 56c | 4,113$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…5497backed Knicks | 46c | 3,958$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…1df7backed Suns | 54c | 3,452$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…d788backed Knicks | 46c | 3,452$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…d686backed Knicks | 46c | 3,412$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…bf82backed Knicks | 46c | 3,357$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…d4e0backed Suns | 54c | 3,352$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…fbabbacked Knicks | 46c | 3,263$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4368…130abacked Knicks | 46c | 3,252$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca37…585fbacked Knicks | 46c | 3,125$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…acdabacked Suns | 54c | 3,058$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,954$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.38 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…18e3backed Knicks | 46c | 2,934$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4a61backed Knicks | 46c | 2,778$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4314…7d74backed Suns | 54c | 2,547$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…62ebbacked Suns | 54c | 2,537$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…a1b2backed Suns | 54c | 2,534$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…d090backed Suns | 54c | 2,533$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…af3bbacked Suns | 54c | 2,461$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…c069backed Knicks | 46c | 2,354$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…cb82backed Suns | 54c | 2,302$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…db94backed Knicks | 46c | 2,185$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…7da7backed Suns | 54c | 2,161$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…edf2backed Knicks | 46c | 2,153$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…14f7backed Suns | 54c | 2,072$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…c2cbbacked Suns | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 57c | 1,762$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 42c | 1,706$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Knicks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 58c | 905$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 42c | 600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…b1efbacked Knicks | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Knicks | 47c | 365.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Knicks | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Knicks | 42c | 143.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Knicks | 40c | 87.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 45c | 68.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 44c | 55.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Suns | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 47c | 46.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Knicks | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Suns | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Knicks | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Suns | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KnicksSuns won
- Suns vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.