TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c20,313$9,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,710.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c13,322$6,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,959.512,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c9,669$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over51c8,543$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35024744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c7,333$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c6,574$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c6,019$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.8566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c5,633$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.292,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c5,542$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.93,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over57c4,300$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45115855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb56…cbabbacked Over52c3,952$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c3,921$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef7…46c1backed Under48c3,871$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e08…616fbacked Over52c3,721$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa788…9d0ebacked Under48c3,685$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c3,642$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.751,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb687…54ebbacked Over52c3,502$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ef…0becbacked Under48c3,023$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54dd…e5c0backed Under48c2,896$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7590…eefebacked Over52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,149$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under43c1,353$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.1149142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c1,038$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Under50c1,003$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.144531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c1,000$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c837.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7467921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c787$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.071,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over53c758.97$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c700.44$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.4467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c551$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over55c548.43$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.641,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under46c525$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5514647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c372.67$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c367$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5140146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over38c320.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over50c283$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.516539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under48c265$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c216.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.752,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7712650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Over51c199.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.932536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under50c191.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over53c184.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under71c184.64$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c182.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.172,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over54c127.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8120456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under47c120$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6418031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under58c106.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.71,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over36c91.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.341,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c90.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over44c87.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8421637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under42c83.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7422140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over53c83.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over54c74.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over22c74.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over50c72.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.189642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over33c70.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.143336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Under77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c59.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over53c52.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Over31c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c44.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8224253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over63c39.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c33.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.642,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c25.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Over53c24.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under47c23.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c22.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…0ed3backed Under47c22.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Over58c20.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.