NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98765a7fe763aa4c37c14270b06dc7b4cf908759335622e6ca6c63406c7b03f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 51c | 12,225$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.61 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,645$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,048$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 4,940$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 51c | 4,314$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.09 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 4,175$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 3,004$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 2,065$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.39 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 1,903$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.34 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 1,669$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.19 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.51 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 778$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 760.42$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.21 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 405.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 324.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 301.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 51c | 277$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 183.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 155.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 51c | 144.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 45c | 109.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 100.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…08c6backed Over | 55c | 90.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 56c | 85.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 44c | 85.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 85.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 78.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 59.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 50.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 54c | 45.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 48c | 43.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 53c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Under | 49c | 20.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KnicksSuns won
- Suns vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.