NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700df384bfbed635d2474014f29471ac311586560f97873e6d2804f4b507d183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Knicks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Suns | 56c | 26,211$14,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,542.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Knicks | 45c | 25,444$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 51c | 17,591$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,666.88 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Knicks | 51c | 16,225$8,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,214.54 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 54c | 12,184$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Suns | 52c | 9,198$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.96 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 51c | 7,871$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…43e8backed Suns | 49c | 7,606$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 50c | 5,893$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.35 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Suns | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,418$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Suns | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.7 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns | 52c | 3,936$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.04 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 51c | 3,871$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 44c | 2,464$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 50c | 2,410$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 1,836$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Suns | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.69 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 57c | 1,392$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.99 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 44c | 1,356$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Suns | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Knicks | 46c | 1,009$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Knicks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Knicks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Suns | 53c | 958.09$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Knicks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Suns | 54c | 408$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 53c | 270.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Knicks | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Suns | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Knicks | 44c | 184.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Knicks | 50c | 163.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…66acbacked Knicks | 44c | 149.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Suns | 49c | 118.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Knicks | 45c | 109.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Knicks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Knicks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Knicks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Knicks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Knicks | 49c | 72.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a6…9050backed Knicks | 45c | 71.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 51c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…532fbacked Knicks | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Knicks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 44c | 47.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks | 49c | 45.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Suns | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Knicks | 46c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Knicks | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Suns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Suns | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 58c | 30.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Suns | 55c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…5163backed Suns | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…88a3backed Suns | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Knicks | 44c | 29.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 38c | 28.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Knicks | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Suns | 66c | 24.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Knicks | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KnicksSuns won
- Suns vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.