NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5188aba1fa7b98479be306085b06e6b7737d08bfeb5ac564991e42660cd7788e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 49c | 5,110$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,361$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 1,980$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.59 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,239$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.63 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 835.82$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 822$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 701.81$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 537.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 423.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 239.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 203.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 173.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 48c | 72.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 39.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KnicksSuns won
- Suns vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.