NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb41887cb4ac4469e0d5c5f0eb5a51bc6a85212f3ab5961498868f74e7960204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Knicks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 41c | 4,655$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 60c | 2,741$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Knicks | 50c | 1,868$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.08 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 60c | 1,335$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 50c | 1,171$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Suns | 65c | 544.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…b1efbacked Knicks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Suns | 61c | 454.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.71 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 38c | 367.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Suns | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Suns | 50c | 174.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 60c | 169.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Suns | 49c | 163.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Suns | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 33c | 94.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 51c | 70.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Knicks | 40c | 61.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Knicks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 41c | 44.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Knicks | 40c | 38.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Knicks | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Knicks | 44c | 32.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Suns | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Suns | 61c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KnicksSuns won
- Suns vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.