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Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Christopher O'Connell vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Basavareddyof O'Connell, Basavareddy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…ca34backed O'Connell42c16,666$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.364060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked O'Connell42c10,003$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.315064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Basavareddy58c7,234$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.126147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Basavareddy58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Basavareddy57c4,512$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.462,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Basavareddy58c3,959$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.0576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Basavareddy58c3,013$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.518047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed O'Connell43c1,886$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.177240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a76…7efabacked Basavareddy66c1,789$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Basavareddy57c1,739$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.342,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Basavareddy45c1,661$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed O'Connell36c1,530$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.81,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked O'Connell79c1,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1855457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Basavareddy45c1,483$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.851,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Basavareddy59c1,432$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9816242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Basavareddy50c1,213$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Basavareddy30c987.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9819023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Basavareddy57c983.44$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8827944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Basavareddy50c961.45$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Basavareddy57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7511843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed O'Connell37c660.13$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2525433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked O'Connell41c542.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228245.1%37 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Basavareddy57c526.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8147639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked O'Connell43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2157751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Basavareddy70c460.82$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6126244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Basavareddy55c423.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4778452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Basavareddy64c420.51$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.432,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Basavareddy57c392$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5614744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Basavareddy58c333$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Basavareddy59c320.7$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Basavareddy60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked O'Connell47c290$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.475232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Basavareddy55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Basavareddy27c263$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Basavareddy59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Basavareddy56c239.91$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.696,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf946…d542backed O'Connell42c237.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Basavareddy34c200.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.972,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f13…8c78backed Basavareddy57c197.53$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Basavareddy57c194.67$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7116340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked O'Connell38c181.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.252,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Basavareddy57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed O'Connell32c171.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Basavareddy38c171.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0517432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Basavareddy59c169.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.696150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Basavareddy33c137.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.095658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Basavareddy61c133.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0812631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed O'Connell50c121.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.548,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Basavareddy21c119.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked O'Connell44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Basavareddy58c106.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Basavareddy57c106.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0813834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Basavareddy68c102.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked O'Connell43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6694…22aabacked O'Connell47c95.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Basavareddy60c92.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7717863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Basavareddy61c90.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.862,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked O'Connell41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.939144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked O'Connell49c88.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2311122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Basavareddy58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Basavareddy65c76.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed O'Connell38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Basavareddy69c63.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.961,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Basavareddy69c63.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.912462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Basavareddy57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked O'Connell33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Basavareddy45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed O'Connell42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf1…6eb1backed Basavareddy53c51.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.752040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed O'Connell42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked O'Connell41c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.491,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed O'Connell40c49.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5231434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed O'Connell48c46.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3658438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed O'Connell44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Basavareddy58c43.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked O'Connell35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Basavareddy27c42.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Basavareddy51c41.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Basavareddy59c38.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.958549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Basavareddy58c35.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe563…0cf5backed O'Connell42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Basavareddy57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed O'Connell67c30.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7410059%59 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Basavareddy65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7729519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Basavareddy57c29.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8536464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Basavareddy63c27.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.231,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Basavareddy50c26.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.547041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed O'Connell60c26.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1116144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked O'Connell43c24.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.745149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Basavareddy59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7336047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Basavareddy52c21.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2814947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Basavareddy57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.052263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Basavareddy59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3413964.7%90 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Basavareddy56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0dd1…3380backed Basavareddy53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42425%6 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Basavareddy57c18.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Basavareddy66c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.524450%22 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.