Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkova

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844d00bb45a887ee712874906d22b38c354f1b8d025984c2cc8a2a0b80a7f0a2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bartunkovaof Kasatkina, Bartunkova
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Kasatkina	34c	14,101$4,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,748.28	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…9878backed Bartunkova	61c	7,709$4,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,006.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bartunkova	29c	3,881$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,755.89	591	51.6%305 W · 286 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bartunkova	52c	3,736$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,775.47	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bartunkova	52c	3,170$1,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.7	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Kasatkina	46c	2,676$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.19	1,446	48.8%706 W · 740 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kasatkina	55c	2,673$1,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.61	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Kasatkina	70c	1,890$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.74	156	65.4%102 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kasatkina	67c	1,880$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.59	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Kasatkina	67c	1,636$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.25	158	62.7%99 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Kasatkina	66c	1,520$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.2	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bartunkova	33c	1,481$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.27	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f13…8c78backed Bartunkova	33c	1,469$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.17	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Kasatkina	67c	1,066$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.84	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bartunkova	32c	1,064$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.21	288	35.1%101 W · 187 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kasatkina	61c	963$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.54	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Bartunkova	45c	657.57$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.2	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Kasatkina	68c	444$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.92	223	44.8%100 W · 123 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Kasatkina	68c	442.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	219	49.3%108 W · 111 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Kasatkina	17c	430$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.1	625	45.4%284 W · 341 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Kasatkina	57c	426$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.56	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kasatkina	55c	381$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.44	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bartunkova	48c	338.89$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.58	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina	57c	337.91$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.82	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Bartunkova	33c	333$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.11	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Bartunkova	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Bartunkova	36c	300$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	100	43%43 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Kasatkina	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.78	576	45.5%262 W · 314 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Bartunkova	47c	271.49$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.54	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Bartunkova	43c	270.58$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.69	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Kasatkina	37c	267.69$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	373	39.1%146 W · 227 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kasatkina	45c	248$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.6	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Bartunkova	56c	244$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.36	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bartunkova	32c	234$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.12	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Bartunkova	45c	233.33$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.33	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bartunkova	35c	228.57$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.57	190	23.2%44 W · 146 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Kasatkina	54c	222.59$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Kasatkina	59c	219.1$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.09	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bartunkova	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	383	48%184 W · 199 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bartunkova	35c	211.97$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.33	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Kasatkina	65c	200$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	296	49.7%147 W · 149 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Kasatkina	61c	165.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	58cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Bartunkova	34c	158.97$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.72	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Kasatkina	68c	154.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.69	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Bartunkova	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Kasatkina	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bartunkova	29c	136.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df2…030dbacked Kasatkina	73c	131.41$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.93	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	70cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina	52c	130.2$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.39	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Bartunkova	32c	125$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Kasatkina	66c	121.27$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Kasatkina	16c	117.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Bartunkova	57c	106.31$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.91	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Bartunkova	24c	104.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.17	1,276	30.4%388 W · 888 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kasatkina	44c	104.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Kasatkina	67c	103.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.51	189	57.7%109 W · 80 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Kasatkina	66c	101$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	341	59.5%203 W · 138 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Kasatkina	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	161	33.5%54 W · 107 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Kasatkina	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	268	33.6%90 W · 178 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Kasatkina	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	188	63.8%120 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Bartunkova	33c	96.64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.75	360	38.9%140 W · 220 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Bartunkova	43c	93.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.37	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Kasatkina	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	60%63 W · 42 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Kasatkina	71c	70.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Kasatkina	71c	70.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Kasatkina	24c	69.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bartunkova	31c	69.1$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.68	1,106	41%454 W · 652 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Kasatkina	47c	62.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-4.7wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Kasatkina	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Kasatkina	62c	56.66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	825	60.5%499 W · 326 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf1…6eb1backed Bartunkova	34c	52.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.95	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Bartunkova	57c	51.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.16	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Kasatkina	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.19per pick	63cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bartunkova	29c	49.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.49	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Kasatkina	63c	47.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	606	61.2%371 W · 235 L	+20.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x181a…b90fbacked Kasatkina	50c	45.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Bartunkova	58c	43.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bartunkova	29c	39.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.1	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Bartunkova	35c	39.37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.4	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kasatkina	39c	37.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	925	48.8%451 W · 474 L	+20.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bartunkova	46c	32.14$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfa…223fbacked Kasatkina	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Kasatkina	47c	30.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Bartunkova	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Kasatkina	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Kasatkina	41c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	161	44.7%72 W · 89 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Kasatkina	71c	28.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	163	55.8%91 W · 72 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Bartunkova	49c	25.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Kasatkina	65c	23.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Kasatkina	54c	22.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…3f2dbacked Kasatkina	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Kasatkina	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2501…6154backed Kasatkina	71c	16.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkovathis page
Kasatkina vs. Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs BartunkovaBartunkova won
Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)Bartunkova won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkova

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event