Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c77650ea8583681e322271fb35193e2c4f48d1be7e00426476b766bd9b3a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Indiana State Sycamores, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 39c | 3,073$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 1,431$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 78c | 1,019$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.66 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Indiana State Sycamores | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Bradley Braves | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 596.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 504.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Bradley Braves | 68c | 441.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Bradley Braves | 34c | 400$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 385.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves | 21c | 372.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bradley Braves | 72c | 268.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 66c | 222.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 73c | 209.54$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 190.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Indiana State Sycamores | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 152.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 72c | 125.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 115.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 48c | 111.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bradley Braves | 79c | 108.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 104.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bradley Braves | 52c | 101.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bradley Braves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Bradley Braves | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Bradley Braves | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Bradley Braves | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bradley Braves | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 43.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 39.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 33.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bradley Braves | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 17.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Bradley Braves | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Bradley Braves | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.