TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inglisof Inglis, Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Inglis43c21,839$9,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,503.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Birrell70c11,389$8,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,020.752842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Inglis33c10,619$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,125.862,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab5…9878backed Birrell68c9,662$6,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,536.67650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Birrell57c5,822$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.5659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Birrell70c5,028$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.2976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Birrell65c4,669$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.6471857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Inglis72c3,811$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Inglis44c3,107$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.32,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Birrell7c2,542$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.321717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Inglis30c2,507$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.91,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Birrell73c2,127$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.255658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Birrell42c1,979$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.9319043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Birrell49c1,914$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.691,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Inglis26c1,812$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.91,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Inglis32c1,580$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.584647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Inglis57c1,574$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.048,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Inglis39c1,461$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7813844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Inglis53c1,451$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.562,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Inglis60c1,219$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Inglis32c986.57$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.871,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Birrell21c952.72$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.392,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Inglis48c921.02$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.22,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Birrell50c915$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.081,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Birrell58c848.62$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1229654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Birrell35c847.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Birrell59c795.73$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5744754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Inglis30c774.1$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8724448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Birrell56c690.49$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Birrell68c589.07$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5710541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Inglis35c574.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7140141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Birrell47c533.78$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.061,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Birrell69c504.81$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Inglis49c412.81$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.797041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Inglis41c405.86$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Birrell46c404$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.675232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Inglis47c400$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Birrell36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9157645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Birrell9c397.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.522,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Birrell55c362.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Inglis30c350$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24512740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Birrell43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Inglis49c336.63$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.313834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Inglis45c309.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6810043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c9…e904backed Birrell73c280.52$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Inglis48c272.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.132462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Inglis28c269.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed Inglis38c263.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Birrell56c259.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Birrell29c238.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Birrell69c236$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.841,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Birrell43c219.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.697,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Inglis31c214.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0349632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Birrell62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Birrell55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11029649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Inglis34c199$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.229744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Inglis13c195.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1413816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Birrell72c187.2$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Birrell46c185.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Birrell39c180.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7147057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Inglis70c174.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5160661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Inglis31c171.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0712344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Birrell59c171$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8915862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Inglis46c170.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.279749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Birrell57c163.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.556768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Birrell61c163.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10bc…76bebacked Inglis60c147.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.62236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Birrell14c145$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Birrell18c144.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.573935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Inglis56c137.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3492548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Inglis34c133.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.527936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inglis30c129.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.482,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Inglis55c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.816144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Inglis40c115.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.814050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Birrell47c114.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0211122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Birrell10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf946…d542backed Inglis52c107$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Birrell56c105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.712631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Birrell61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.011844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Inglis58c98.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Inglis46c98.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7614947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Birrell40c97.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Birrell59c95.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7374961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Birrell66c91.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Birrell29c90.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.619023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Birrell59c84.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956a…b3dabacked Inglis68c82.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.282055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Inglis42c81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.981,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Birrell39c80.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Birrell44c80.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Inglis28c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5849142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Inglis32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.136055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Birrell60c77.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.482560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2f…35efbacked Birrell46c74.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.621844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c7…3cccbacked Inglis45c73.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Inglis45c72.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.313764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Birrell70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed Inglis75c69.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.981850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Inglis27c62.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.341283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Birrell54c59.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.245944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.