TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6c7…3ccc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.6%+$34.57
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.5%+$3.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+39.3%+$14.94
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+121.4%+$16.95
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29%+$4.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+226.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$79.46
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.16
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+45.5%+$5.52
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+237.6%+$44.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+158.3%+$16.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.