Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49113ea2ae40a09138216f4385c2eb33c8757ea80fb0a0cf020a22315c1812a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sweenyof Sweeny, Monfils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sweeny | 39c | 51,690$20,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,530.71 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Monfils | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Monfils | 61c | 21,739$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,259.95 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Monfils | 39c | 10,600$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.65 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Sweeny | 60c | 9,752$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.77 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monfils | 36c | 6,834$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Monfils | 51c | 5,100$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.12 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Monfils | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Monfils | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sweeny | 56c | 4,048$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Sweeny | 73c | 3,477$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.07 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Monfils | 61c | 3,310$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Sweeny | 44c | 3,272$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.01 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Monfils | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sweeny | 38c | 2,827$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.71 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monfils | 47c | 2,765$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Monfils | 51c | 2,690$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Monfils | 25c | 2,683$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.77 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sweeny | 73c | 2,473$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.47 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sweeny | 71c | 2,390$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.05 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Monfils | 28c | 2,338$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Sweeny | 59c | 2,279$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.5 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Monfils | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Sweeny | 38c | 2,071$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Sweeny | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Sweeny | 55c | 2,000$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sweeny | 37c | 1,815$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.36 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…d663backed Sweeny | 74c | 1,724$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Monfils | 45c | 1,548$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.41 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Sweeny | 36c | 1,505$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.27 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Sweeny | 75c | 1,491$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Sweeny | 41c | 1,434$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.01 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Sweeny | 38c | 1,306$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.47 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Monfils | 26c | 1,242$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sweeny | 42c | 1,142$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.53 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monfils | 33c | 1,124$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.35 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sweeny | 39c | 1,083$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.1 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Monfils | 40c | 1,053$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Monfils | 39c | 870.49$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.89 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Monfils | 34c | 775$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Monfils | 35c | 755.86$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked Sweeny | 54c | 747.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Monfils | 43c | 700$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.53 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Monfils | 47c | 620.94$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Sweeny | 77c | 590$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Sweeny | 25c | 555$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Sweeny | 38c | 502.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Sweeny | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Monfils | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Monfils | 22c | 451.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Sweeny | 66c | 443.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sweeny | 29c | 441.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sweeny | 58c | 413.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sweeny | 55c | 400.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sweeny | 51c | 390.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sweeny | 52c | 373.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Sweeny | 75c | 368.44$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Monfils | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Monfils | 29c | 349.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sweeny | 32c | 318.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.73 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Sweeny | 49c | 290.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Sweeny | 44c | 272.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Monfils | 58c | 267.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Sweeny | 71c | 253.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Sweeny | 25c | 244$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Sweeny | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Monfils | 43c | 228.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Sweeny | 70c | 225$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monfils | 36c | 220.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Sweeny | 76c | 203.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Sweeny | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Sweeny | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Sweeny | 38c | 197.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Sweeny | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Monfils | 52c | 147.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Sweeny | 80c | 144.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monfils | 64c | 143.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Monfils | 36c | 134.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Sweeny | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Sweeny | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Sweeny | 21c | 128$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Sweeny | 34c | 124.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Monfils | 58c | 112.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Sweeny | 73c | 110.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sweeny | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Sweeny | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Monfils | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Sweeny | 47c | 99.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Sweeny | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…e543backed Monfils | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Monfils | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Monfils | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Monfils | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Monfils | 38c | 82.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…3950backed Sweeny | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Monfils | 61c | 76.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Sweeny | 70c | 75.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Monfils | 16c | 75.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Monfils | 49c | 71.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sweeny | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsthis page
- Set Handicap: Monfils (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5)Sweeny won
- Set Handicap: Monfils (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5)Sweeny won
- Sweeny vs. Monfils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sweeny vs. Monfils: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.