Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946374bec35a06b777d1448cdea75b9ba826628245e824f5728727bb8f0fac26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Mensik, Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Busta | 20c | 11,998$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.54 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mensik | 67c | 10,394$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.14 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Mensik | 79c | 10,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.22 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Mensik | 80c | 7,158$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.5 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Busta | 41c | 5,132$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.38 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Busta | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mensik | 49c | 4,499$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.08 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Busta | 59c | 4,283$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.08 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Busta | 46c | 4,235$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.39 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…b2b3backed Busta | 30c | 2,968$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Busta | 21c | 2,944$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.2 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mensik | 49c | 1,956$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Busta | 40c | 1,783$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Busta | 49c | 1,643$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.2 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mensik | 77c | 1,613$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Busta | 23c | 1,409$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik | 28c | 1,259$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.76 | 1,448 | 48.8%707 W · 741 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Busta | 13c | 1,250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Busta | 35c | 1,208$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Mensik | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 654 | 39.9%261 W · 393 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Busta | 22c | 1,044$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mensik | 78c | 1,000$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.88 | 945 | 55.7%526 W · 419 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Busta | 22c | 921.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Busta | 60c | 700.57$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Busta | 14c | 697.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Busta | 42c | 684.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Busta | 33c | 680.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Mensik | 80c | 625.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Mensik | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Busta | 22c | 488.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Mensik | 41c | 463.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Busta | 67c | 450.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Mensik | 70c | 410.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Busta | 74c | 406.95$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Mensik | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.14 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mensik | 39c | 399.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 2,153 | 54.1%1,165 W · 988 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Mensik | 67c | 398.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mensik | 79c | 352$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 913 | 50.2%458 W · 455 L | -21.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Busta | 37c | 351.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…b2b0backed Mensik | 80c | 331.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mensik | 58c | 284.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mensik | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mensik | 72c | 252.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Busta | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Mensik | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Mensik | 34c | 235.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 593 | 59.2%351 W · 242 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Mensik | 68c | 217.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Busta | 21c | 206.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Mensik | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Mensik | 40c | 197.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Mensik | 79c | 190.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Mensik | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Busta | 29c | 183.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Busta | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Busta | 14c | 152.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Mensik | 37c | 148.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Mensik | 30c | 137.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mensik | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Mensik | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Busta | 26c | 127.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…f482backed Mensik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Mensik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Busta | 41c | 124.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Busta | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Busta | 18c | 118.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Mensik | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Mensik | 67c | 106.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Busta | 17c | 104.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Busta | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Mensik | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Mensik | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Mensik | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Mensik | 79c | 95.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Busta | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Mensik | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Mensik | 52c | 92.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Mensik | 36c | 90.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…e91bbacked Mensik | 80c | 83.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…26b0backed Mensik | 80c | 82.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Mensik | 62c | 80.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mensik | 47c | 79.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Busta | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…2bf7backed Busta | 27c | 73.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Mensik | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…65a4backed Mensik | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Mensik | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Mensik | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed Mensik | 80c | 58.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Mensik | 78c | 58.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Mensik | 71c | 53.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Mensik | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Mensik | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 842 | 60.9%513 W · 329 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Busta | 56c | 50.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Mensik | 80c | 50.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 751 | 61.8%464 W · 287 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Mensik | 80c | 50.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Mensik | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Busta | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Mensik | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 408 | 43.6%178 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Mensik | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Busta | 23c | 49.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Mensik vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Mensik vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs BustaMensik won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.