TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Khachanov, Basavareddy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…ca34backed Khachanov70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0004060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Basavareddy30c19,789$5,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,936.681,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Basavareddy0c8,044$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.462,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Khachanov74c7,656$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.6610162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cb…820abacked Basavareddy26c7,009$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Khachanov70c6,900$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.1624448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Khachanov75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Basavareddy30c6,443$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.062,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Khachanov73c6,060$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.0193055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Basavareddy25c5,710$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Basavareddy25c5,589$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.175228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Basavareddy29c5,517$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Basavareddy26c5,063$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.3211633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Khachanov71c4,751$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6910541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Basavareddy30c4,364$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.2824846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Basavareddy27c3,881$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.472,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Khachanov70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Khachanov74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Basavareddy26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Basavareddy30c2,453$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Basavareddy26c2,115$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Khachanov73c1,564$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2512755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Basavareddy8c1,202$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…6eb8backed Khachanov74c1,141$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Basavareddy27c1,011$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.996439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Basavareddy30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Basavareddy27c961.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7327944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Basavareddy38c901.34$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.512,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Basavareddy25c897.66$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.427,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Basavareddy11c855.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.051,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Khachanov62c798.61$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.431,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Khachanov73c678.14$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4323454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Basavareddy5c600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Khachanov72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14015151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Khachanov73c497.26$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Basavareddy24c492.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Basavareddy37c492.08$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Khachanov73c480.26$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2658753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Basavareddy30c411$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.891,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Khachanov73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961866.7%12 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Khachanov74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4137444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Basavareddy26c353$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Basavareddy27c349.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.55350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Basavareddy8c320$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Basavareddy29c305$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Khachanov70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9032050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Basavareddy5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Khachanov70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7154138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b3…20fbbacked Khachanov73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Khachanov74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2716665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Basavareddy30c263$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.942141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…ade8backed Basavareddy4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Khachanov76c209.59$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.798,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Khachanov73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.352445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Khachanov70c202.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6317959.8%107 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Khachanov70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6028543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Basavareddy7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d8…58b5backed Khachanov71c199.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Basavareddy28c199.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9949142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Basavareddy11c181.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6222236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Khachanov75c174$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Khachanov70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Khachanov76c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.53953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Khachanov71c143$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.698445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Khachanov70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Khachanov72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Khachanov72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Khachanov73c138$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.264245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Khachanov74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1448242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Basavareddy30c130.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.253058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Basavareddy26c101$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Basavareddy14c100.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6911122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Basavareddy30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Khachanov75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2516856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Khachanov75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Khachanov70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+84.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Khachanov72c92.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Basavareddy26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b3…dfb3backed Khachanov74c87.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Khachanov71c84.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1394060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Khachanov73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1939850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Khachanov73c81.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9916158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048b…cdb5backed Basavareddy17c76.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Basavareddy23c76.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.252,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Basavareddy33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed Khachanov70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4325862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Basavareddy28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Khachanov70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Khachanov71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4210668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd17…fcbfbacked Khachanov73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Khachanov74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a17…5d26backed Khachanov77c64.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed Khachanov70c56.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e75…ec2dbacked Khachanov71c56.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Khachanov73c56.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1321361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Khachanov73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.854259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddf…c9a6backed Khachanov73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.793281.3%26 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Basavareddy31c51.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc97…1425backed Basavareddy27c50.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc55…3f46backed Khachanov73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55074%37 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.