Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0c1fb9f24159b09ba82021211377cc97a8bab43eb2b4527f8f77610e09a100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,226$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 1,706$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 1,177$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 23c | 899.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 589.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 520.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 77c | 518.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 10c | 245.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 79c | 232.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…3ba3backed Over | 77c | 189.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 26c | 186.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 74.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 60.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 56.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 78c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Over | 74c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.