Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05fd995f62a32a4672a427c89f9ff08e8b5f436722d65a3dea3b85392a0395c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 8,805$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 3,233$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 754.96$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 77c | 745.21$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 49c | 741.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 612.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 50c | 399.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 77c | 280.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Under | 38c | 231.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 209.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 31c | 159.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 151.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 148.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 130.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 46c | 107.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 70c | 105.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 84.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 65c | 78.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 52c | 77.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 70c | 77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Over | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Under | 60c | 66.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 70c | 53.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 45.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 49c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 56c | 33.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 70c | 32.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 51c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 68c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 62c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 47c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.