Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3eccc339323db0676738e78d7f47442feb23a5d379d8023f74b5d25895e1a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof AVULUS, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed AVULUS | 1c | 5,447$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked AVULUS | 48c | 2,072$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…68eabacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 1,744$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 1,552$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.3 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked AVULUS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc68…e5c6backed AVULUS | 78c | 953.02$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…556bbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 862.14$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed AVULUS | 50c | 768.47$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked AVULUS | 24c | 753.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed AVULUS | 22c | 695.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked AVULUS | 44c | 687.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 630.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.46 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 482.23$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.08 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed AVULUS | 3c | 420.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked AVULUS | 19c | 343.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AVULUS | 18c | 320.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 309.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed AVULUS | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AVULUS | 47c | 221.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed AVULUS | 36c | 214.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked AVULUS | 48c | 209.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed AVULUS | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AVULUS | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked AVULUS | 35c | 201.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed AVULUS | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked AVULUS | 21c | 198.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 161.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 137.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked AVULUS | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed AVULUS | 16c | 122.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 117.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked AVULUS | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed AVULUS | 48c | 104.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 100.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed AVULUS | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed AVULUS | 27c | 85.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…88d8backed AVULUS | 24c | 74.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked AVULUS | 42c | 71.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed AVULUS | 51c | 63.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 60.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…ef5bbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AVULUS | 18c | 56.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked AVULUS | 39c | 56.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…7508backed AVULUS | 27c | 54.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 51.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 50.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed AVULUS | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AVULUS | 34c | 48.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 48.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed AVULUS | 33c | 46.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked AVULUS | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed AVULUS | 46c | 43.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 41.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…0435backed AVULUS | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 32.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…341abacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…fbd4backed AVULUS | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed AVULUS | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…583bbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 29.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 27.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed AVULUS | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed AVULUS | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 26.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…b53cbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed AVULUS | 56c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 20.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…b477backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked AVULUS | 57c | 18.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…682cbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 16.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerAVULUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.