Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd32466ad8e1282f41dee877a49d1a4f21edd1a53e851fe0ef5b8f7711bef70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 2,243$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.18 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 50c | 1,636$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 996.22$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.22 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 948.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 665.09$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 29c | 608.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.09 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 565.91$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 554.54$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 338.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 248.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 40c | 211$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Over | 51c | 210.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 74c | 203.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 55c | 188.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Under | 32c | 155.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Under | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…7a51backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 33c | 83.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 70c | 60.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 62c | 56.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 53.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 75c | 53.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 32c | 52.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 60c | 49.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 64c | 48.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f8…58f7backed Over | 73c | 47.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 46.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 41c | 43.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…166abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 60c | 33.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 32.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 31.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 38c | 31.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Under | 43c | 30.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Over | 69c | 25.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…4643backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Over | 69c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.