Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85254e3351831aa2e1edb7d9b1df7e6ec954f4f74e763246fbc71276ea4555d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x808d…c1babacked Over | 50c | 19,749$9,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,874.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 14,211$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,089.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 10c | 10,060$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,054 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 5,889$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.32 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 3,824$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 71c | 2,831$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 15c | 1,753$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.95 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,058$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…16e4backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 52c | 959.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Over | 10c | 874.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 734.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 73c | 680.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 45c | 667.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 13c | 613.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.39 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 58c | 492$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 50c | 432.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 26c | 402.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 19c | 343.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Over | 74c | 279.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 54c | 186.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 147.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 131.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 29c | 129.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 115.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 41c | 112.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 13c | 105$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 11c | 103$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 22c | 90.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…76f4backed Over | 50c | 81.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…4643backed Under | 21c | 67.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 75c | 65.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Under | 38c | 63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Over | 67c | 58.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 76c | 55.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 71c | 52.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 79c | 45.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 35c | 40.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 57c | 34.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 72c | 29.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…2e17backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…1ebdbacked Over | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…61c1backed Over | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…7e0bbacked Over | 79c | 15.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.