TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under49c61,673$30,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,518.673961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over51c14,952$7,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,625.593336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c10,187$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.112,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8253946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c5,051$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.335,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over51c4,700$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3974334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27526749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c2,333$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1902356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca76…28b3backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over54c1,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over51c1,673$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over51c1,482$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Over51c1,420$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+97.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c1,324$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.413735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over52c1,091$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.093342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over29c1,010$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.952642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over52c836.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.243243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over49c776.53$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c594.8$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.412250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over50c476.21$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3523927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c436.33$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.651,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under74c332.12$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.122065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under77c259.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…a815backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c179.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.45345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dde…b1aebacked Over16c140.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over34c127.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.333033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over14c103.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.223737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c92.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.711238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under48c87.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.321457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over51c85.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.634261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under45c82.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6413846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over50c82.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.214738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over26c80.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.832948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over51c78.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over26c72.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5510436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over23c71.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over30c69.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1527540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under51c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8513140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over30c61.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Over51c61.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b3…8346backed Under50c58.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14b…3835backed Over49c56.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c56.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over51c53.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.458156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbb…673cbacked Under53c52.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over39c50.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6912146.3%56 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over42c47.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over51c43.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3412750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb5…c94abacked Under53c41.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over51c41.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under50c40.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Under49c40.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+73.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd240…a7a6backed Over49c38.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ed…8e8bbacked Over51c37.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under51c31.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dc…4e57backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over51c28.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Under50c26.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…1f7dbacked Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Under52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under49c22.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under49c22.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Under52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Under52c20.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…c05fbacked Over52c20.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c0…35cfbacked Under73c14.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.