Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782ea3da8569e879a885ba4fa9e3b0ab3640b4df5a1682848f512057ad6a5d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 901.67$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 66c | 755.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 618.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 611.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 447.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 56c | 353.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 60c | 249.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 177.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 174.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 48c | 156.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 56c | 150.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 52c | 141.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 58c | 138.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 54c | 126.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 60c | 109.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 85.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed No | 56c | 77.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 64c | 70.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 60c | 67.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…4775backed Yes | 56c | 49.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 58c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 62c | 40.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 46c | 34.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…1ad5backed Yes | 61c | 33.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 29.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.