Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cf51e7312519c2ce441afca568a3ac6f4097907d243d3a8171603a335b23ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 675.83$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 30c | 620$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 70c | 245$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 34c | 219.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 72c | 138.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 121.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed Under | 77c | 68.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 27c | 48.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 30c | 45.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Over | 32c | 43.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Under | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 70c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.