La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5149c5c8630f3e8913c2c85da4a1603122539ba11f09f8800837cab9a835ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 46c | 21,111$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,295.59 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 21,041$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250.85 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Yes | 47c | 11,107$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 6,013$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 3,091$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.02 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked No | 55c | 2,430$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 46c | 1,852$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.17 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 840.22$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 732.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 54c | 625$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 46c | 502.72$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 495.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 392.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 47c | 337.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…fb76backed Yes | 49c | 245.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 46c | 232.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 226.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 48c | 208.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 48c | 204$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 54c | 99.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 88.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 47c | 85.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…8297backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 46c | 61.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 56c | 56.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked No | 56c | 56.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 42c | 48.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…dd85backed No | 62c | 46.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…3b47backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…3934backed Yes | 46c | 44.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 39c | 30.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed No | 54c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 74c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.