Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3030d5183b616a0b81b789f2a046f36bccf6a0fcd55c6865c13000ad24517c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Niagara Purple Eagles, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 4,804$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 4,099$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.05 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 1,806$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 31c | 1,780$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.63 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 4c | 1,444$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 1,357$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 29c | 1,350$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 1,310$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 1,270$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 1,042$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 1,002$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 933.34$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 28c | 928.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 790$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 656.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 620$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 611.89$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 485$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 418.66$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 391.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 387.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 353.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 23c | 270.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 268.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 258.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 243.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 205$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 199.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 195.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 189.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 144.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 116.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…a3f6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 107$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 105.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…6c61backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70c | 91.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 91.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 81.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…1b9cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 67.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…74a8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…ef1abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 64.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 63.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 55.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 51.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 36.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…f8eebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…c351backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersthis page
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 128.5Over won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 129.5Over won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-6.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.