NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875fc528e6f6350fc6878085e175a9a5f2485aaa58e59fb6f48fdb0f3535fb57

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets	53c	12,122$6,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,714.03	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	51c	8,048$4,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,906.14	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Rockets	50c	6,807$3,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,403.47	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Hawks	50c	6,807$3,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,403.47	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	53c	5,092$2,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,415.97	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets	58c	4,991$2,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,095.45	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	47c	4,809$2,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.77	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Hawks	48c	4,298$2,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,054.13	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Rockets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	54c	2,722$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.89	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hawks	50c	2,617$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.8	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	47c	2,568$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	43c	2,318$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Hawks	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks	46c	1,304$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Hawks	44c	1,131$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.41	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	48c	1,066$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Hawks	47c	1,020$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.62	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	48c	1,000$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Rockets	52c	999.99$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Hawks	44c	981$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.01	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	52c	945.1$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.03	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	48c	889.09$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.87	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hawks	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	54c	783.27$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.19	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	47c	659$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.73	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Hawks	39c	656.78$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.14	187	43.3%81 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Hawks	46c	608.5$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.91	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Rockets	58c	600$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Rockets	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets	51c	545$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.05	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	42c	527.92$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.02	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks	43c	508.87$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Rockets	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawks	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Hawks	49c	499.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets	52c	476.73$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.57	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	62c	321.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.46	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Hawks	51c	313.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…c575backed Hawks	42c	309.52$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Hawks	45c	265.36$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.81	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	43c	251.5$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.54	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Hawks	47c	234.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks	40c	227$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks	48c	220.02$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.16	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets	53c	204.04$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks	40c	200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hawks	49c	199.98$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Rockets	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	145	57.2%83 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hawks	51c	156.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…a0d1backed Rockets	51c	155.97$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed Hawks	49c	155.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks	48c	146$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.08	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets	50c	141$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.5	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Rockets	61c	140$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	133	38.3%51 W · 82 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Rockets	59c	110$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.1	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Hawks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	20.2%23 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Hawks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	140	36.4%51 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Hawks	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	51c	93$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Rockets	61c	88.54$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.53	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Rockets	58c	83.72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Hawks	45c	83.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Rockets	51c	74.23$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.37	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Hawks	46c	69.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks	50c	68$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets	54c	65.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.31	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Rockets	54c	65.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.31	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Hawks	46c	62.07$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	203	56.7%115 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeba…3d1dbacked Rockets	57c	61.12$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Hawks	47c	57.54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rockets	55c	54.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.69	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Hawks	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Hawks	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137b…d330backed Rockets	60c	48.08$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.23	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks	42c	46.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Rockets	53c	46.11$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Hawks	46c	45.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b39…dfdabacked Rockets	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Rockets	58c	41.38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.38	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hawks	48c	40.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Hawks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ed…9af8backed Rockets	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Rockets	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets	51c	35.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Hawks	45c	34.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hawks	45c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Rockets	51c	31.37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Rockets	59c	30.8$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.56	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Hawks	46c	30.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc54…9e1abacked Hawks	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Rockets	51c	28.24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Hawks	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hawks	51c	27.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Rockets	52c	27.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Rockets	51c	25.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.52	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Hawks	46c	25.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1664…61bebacked Rockets	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Hawks won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rockets vs. HawksRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Tari Eason: Points O/U 11.5No won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event