TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Under53c22,823$12,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,726.621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c12,815$6,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.9629055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c9,569$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over47c8,956$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655a…7c37backed Under50c5,421$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over47c5,412$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5509051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…1523backed Under50c5,215$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c5,106$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ef…1847backed Over50c5,024$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25f…885bbacked Over50c5,022$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…dc0dbacked Under50c4,822$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1f…9ad4backed Over50c4,582$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…b4f6backed Under50c4,452$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under53c4,273$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.6834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3877…ae19backed Over50c4,255$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a2…4397backed Over50c4,252$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c4,211$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Under51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0582864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4c…94fdbacked Over49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0581428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Under51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…c39bbacked Over49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0581844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9766…a5f2backed Under50c4,064$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under58c3,978$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.624549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over47c3,734$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.8512950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef11…72a0backed Over50c3,521$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c3,149$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.452,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c3,003$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.561,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over47c2,745$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0698…9202backed Under50c2,682$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over47c2,674$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over43c2,001$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.335942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c1,226$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3723850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Under53c1,094$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.0411444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under53c998.15$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over47c846.27$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c786.45$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c768.17$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under53c757.02$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over43c691.69$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5619135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c657.67$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c652.26$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.253,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c649.06$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c629.95$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over46c526.47$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.186756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Under50c499.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.993748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.51,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c424$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c422$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c320.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c298$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.021,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under58c290.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9720552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Over47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c267$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c257.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over48c228.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.926043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c166.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.11,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over50c161.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8727943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c147.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.711,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over42c142.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c134.84$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.841,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c117$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c110.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8253839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8e…34d8backed Over48c101.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c67.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over48c45.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6412143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under59c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.227545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2488…788dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c37.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.552,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c34.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over34c32.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Over49c30.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over49c30.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8921645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under56c28.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over45c26.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under51c25.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7333552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Over49c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.247723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c24.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640d…3168backed Under54c24.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.413452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c22.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd4…1c62backed Under59c18.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.