NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f7f6dd682e6a9a2af5ad6d2677a2c9f21b33cbb394ab4feef2387186afa695

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,472 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets	53c	7,660$4,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,621.81	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	49c	6,339$3,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098.18	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	47c	5,802$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,718.63	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hawks	51c	5,283$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,684.46	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	71c	4,661$3,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.25	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Hawks	47c	4,221$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.87	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-9.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets	52c	2,995$1,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.69	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	54c	2,690$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.75	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets	49c	2,089$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.94	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rockets	55c	1,986$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.8	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	48c	1,948$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks	49c	1,841$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets	56c	1,820$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.8	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Hawks	47c	1,717$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.53	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets	51c	1,588$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.94	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Hawks	46c	1,509$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.03	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Hawks	52c	1,387$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Hawks	29c	1,330$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.7	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	51c	1,063$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Hawks	48c	1,037$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.76	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Hawks	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	52c	1,010$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.74	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Rockets	52c	961.94$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.94	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets	48c	901.99$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.27	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Hawks	43c	897.55$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.95	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks	26c	848$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.48	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	45c	844.95$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.49	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	48c	728.19$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.63	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Hawks	49c	700.57$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.42	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Rockets	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks	46c	584.66$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.97	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hawks	49c	464.07$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.4	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks	44c	451.86$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.78	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Rockets	46c	430.82$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.64	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hawks	52c	415.7$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.32	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Rockets	48c	415.42$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.02	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Rockets	50c	398.25$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.25	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks	49c	348$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.04	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hawks	45c	335$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.75	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks	47c	324.55$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.54	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Hawks	45c	311.11$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Hawks	48c	304.62$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.22	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Rockets	47c	300.34$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.18	305	44.6%136 W · 169 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks	44c	262.19$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks	6c	261.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Rockets	47c	227.1$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.36	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	47c	225.99$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.41	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…edeabacked Rockets	47c	198$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.94	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…4279backed Hawks	54c	198$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.92	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks	43c	173$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.39	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks	47c	138.01$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Hawks	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks	49c	108.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.14	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Rockets	56c	108$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.52	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Rockets	59c	107.81$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Rockets	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Rockets	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hawks	45c	84$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Hawks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Rockets	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Rockets	53c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hawks	45c	73.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rockets	53c	72.77$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Hawks	48c	70.83$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Hawks	49c	60.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	232	49.6%115 W · 117 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks	25c	60.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Hawks	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Hawks	36c	56.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hawks	46c	56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Rockets	47c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Hawks	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Hawks	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hawks	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c8…2f5abacked Rockets	46c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hawks	53c	47.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Rockets	47c	44.26$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	177	50.8%90 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	50c	42.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Hawks	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	216	37.5%81 W · 135 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Hawks	49c	40.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Hawks	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	116	44%51 W · 65 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Hawks	43c	39.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Rockets	51c	39.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets	52c	38.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.64	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Hawks	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets	53c	38.19$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6a…e018backed Hawks	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets	51c	35.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks	51c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	56c	33.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Rockets	46c	33.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Rockets	55c	31.34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Hawks	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Hawks	44c	29.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Hawks	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Hawks	54c	23.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fe…a06fbacked Hawks	50c	22.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Hawks won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rockets vs. HawksRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Tari Eason: Points O/U 11.5No won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event