NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a2bc32a37930ce15a8199cbb495937422699e0a967210ab11b193c20cb8f98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 50c | 30,796$15,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,394.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hawks | 50c | 18,402$9,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200.83 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 14,442$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 50c | 13,858$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 48c | 12,521$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,993.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Rockets | 52c | 9,549$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Rockets | 55c | 9,530$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.89 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 51c | 3,966$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.51 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 45c | 3,036$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,594$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 45c | 2,510$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 46c | 2,220$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 45c | 1,689$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Rockets | 51c | 1,049$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.14 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Rockets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets | 51c | 854.02$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.43 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Rockets | 51c | 785.17$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 46c | 591.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Hawks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Rockets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Rockets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Rockets | 53c | 236.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 50c | 215.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 54c | 191.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Rockets | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 51c | 120.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Hawks | 49c | 112.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hawks | 46c | 88.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 47c | 80.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Hawks | 56c | 76.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Rockets | 53c | 74.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Hawks | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…97d5backed Hawks | 46c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Rockets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hawks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets | 51c | 49.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Rockets | 50c | 46.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Rockets | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Hawks | 46c | 40.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Rockets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Rockets | 55c | 37.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hawks | 45c | 37.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc113…5b1cbacked Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hawks | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Hawks | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 52c | 30.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Rockets | 51c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Hawks won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rockets vs. HawksRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.