TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c19,076$13,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,177.924,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c11,283$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.371,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes33c10,640$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.131020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes0c8,250$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c7,319$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.972,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No67c6,058$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.823441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.953724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c4,163$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.8850249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c3,405$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.6530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c2,824$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.6625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c2,152$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes36c2,118$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c2,112$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.8220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No51c2,037$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.26839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes49c2,032$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.6714067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes32c1,750$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.043748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes22c1,709$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes26c1,616$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c1,445$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes30c1,437$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.16051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,394$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.573,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c1,382$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.81,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c1,100$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.4742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked No72c1,007$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c942$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes33c850$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes28c846.43$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2373342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes33c720.76$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.859549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes14c718.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes11c711.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes33c710.24$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.384934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes33c638$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes33c618$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes32c612.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19611037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes32c605.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Yes2c572.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404425%11 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c547.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes8c525.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes32c470$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.48653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab31…c16ebacked Yes33c451.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c445$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3d…cdc2backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Yes5c383.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes17c377.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.349134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c352.44$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c337.58$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No67c333.58$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0820452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes32c320$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.44528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes30c300.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901520%3 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c294.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes33c293$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7712944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Yes33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes19c258.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes33c240$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes13c233.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes33c229$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Yes9c221.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes33c202.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.796728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4398…41e3backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6416142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes33c180.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4911137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes21c173.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No75c173.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5515643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…b148backed No67c164.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes33c159.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80c7…0470backed Yes14c145.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1253…7e78backed Yes33c144.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe40…efa0backed Yes21c124.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No68c123.28$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.453164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No68c120.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5913100%13 W · 0 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes32c118.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822540.4%91 W · 134 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11c…8fd2backed Yes13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes23c108.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.532343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No59c107.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c104$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.943053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3270%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…5ba3backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.