NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2bf03ec06c9a4a9e2a257c5f2c1a23b9db3d89e56493063dcd42d9860d1848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nuggets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 51c | 269,165$137,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,096.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 49c | 199,997$97,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,998.31 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nets | 51c | 105,086$53,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,492.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 61,224$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Nuggets | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Nets | 52c | 9,678$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.18 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Nets | 52c | 9,302$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.63 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,329$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.07 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,528$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,041$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,808$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,516$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,237$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,127$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.59 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nets | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 54c | 4,371$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 50c | 3,654$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,501$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 50c | 2,804$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…761cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,400$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nets | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,552$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Nets | 51c | 1,508$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.66 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,250$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.39 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Nets | 53c | 1,129$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,106$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Nuggets | 49c | 988.51$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.37 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 48c | 819.5$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 50c | 788.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Nuggets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets | 49c | 758.69$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 32c | 611.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Nuggets | 49c | 597.35$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 51c | 449.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Nuggets | 24c | 444.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nets | 47c | 428.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.22 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 399.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 337$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Nets | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Nets | 51c | 329.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Nets | 51c | 316.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Nuggets | 49c | 305.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Nets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…44b1backed Nuggets | 48c | 276$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Nets | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked Nets | 51c | 227.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Nets | 52c | 204.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 204.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…68d1backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nets | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 49c | 198.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Nets | 51c | 194.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Nuggets | 49c | 184.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…36a1backed Nuggets | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Nuggets | 49c | 175.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Nuggets | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…32c6backed Nuggets | 49c | 172.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nuggets | 47c | 171.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 157.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Nuggets | 44c | 156.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 53c | 156.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nuggets | 44c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…aa08backed Nuggets | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 50c | 138.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 135.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 49c | 121.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets | 49c | 120.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Nuggets | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Nuggets | 49c | 117.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Nets | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 110.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 55c | 109.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Nuggets | 48c | 109.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Nuggets | 18c | 109.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Nuggets | 49c | 103.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…98c0backed Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Nuggets | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c6f4backed Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Nets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Terance Mann: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.