NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8453afc9f469d35b25052aba67a699b286f35ce6b0a6e0b24e867f2204d5d46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nuggets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nets | 55c | 48,913$26,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,010.68 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nuggets | 46c | 25,859$11,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,938 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Nets | 54c | 24,422$13,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,234.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 53c | 22,560$11,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,577.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 47c | 13,708$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,419.73 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nuggets | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…f0afbacked Nuggets | 47c | 8,600$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,723$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.77 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,876$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,245$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,410$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.87 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nets | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,862$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.74 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 52c | 2,806$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.44 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,508$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.84 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,012$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 58c | 1,990$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,906$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,786$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,637$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,480$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 4c | 1,150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nets | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nets | 53c | 740.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 46c | 725$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 45c | 714.22$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Nuggets | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Nets | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Nets | 51c | 582.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 44c | 553.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 541.04$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 4c | 540.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Nuggets | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 54c | 426.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Nets | 54c | 410.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 53c | 402.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 54c | 401.64$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 46c | 377.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Nuggets | 49c | 370.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Nets | 54c | 369.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 50c | 355$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nets | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 46c | 234$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 43c | 225$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Nuggets | 46c | 215.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…4185backed Nets | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Nuggets | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…2357backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…cf30backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 53c | 199.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 50c | 199.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Nuggets | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Nets | 54c | 180.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Nets | 53c | 157.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Nuggets | 47c | 154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nuggets | 18c | 151.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 147.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 52c | 141.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nets | 54c | 137.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Nuggets | 46c | 120.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 53c | 113.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Nuggets | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 30c | 107.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Nuggets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Nets | 61c | 95.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nets | 53c | 94.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Nets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Nets | 49c | 90.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets | 45c | 80.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Nets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Nuggets | 46c | 77.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Nets | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 43c | 76.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Nets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…cce8backed Nets | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 49c | 71.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Nets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Terance Mann: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.