NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb580dbcb109fc80fa094283652319299827997e1aa58b01cc8b0f1ff2fd07f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under	57c	46,232$26,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,915.68	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	43c	35,309$15,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,182.87	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d9…878fbacked Over	46c	12,800$5,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,888	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	53c	12,482$6,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,816.46	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	53c	10,000$5,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,738.7	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	7,906$3,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,602.59	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa672…9eb1backed Under	54c	6,800$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa6…6b31backed Under	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.7wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	43c	5,031$2,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,163.33	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	46c	4,347$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	47c	2,586$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.5	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	46c	2,581$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.9	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	2,253$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	1,509$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.87	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	44c	1,377$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.61	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	56c	1,314$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.02	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe65a…ce48backed Under	58c	1,284$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…d209backed Over	46c	1,146$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	31c	1,074$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.16	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under	55c	1,045$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.45	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over	45c	933.54$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.66	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over	46c	894.19$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over	46c	688$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.48	430	52.3%225 W · 205 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	47c	531.91$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	41c	488.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.37	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	46c	364$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.44	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	56c	317$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.48	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	45c	277.78$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b1…30e9backed Over	47c	270$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.9	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	251.68$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.69	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over	43c	250$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.5	54	22.2%12 W · 42 L	-11.5wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	44c	227.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	49c	201.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	61c	188.62$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.26	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under	57c	175.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	43c	172$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.47	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	136.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over	34c	118.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over	37c	117$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	55c	109.08$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…cc43backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	98.72$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.16	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	44c	98.43$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.31	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under	56c	89.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.46	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	84.43$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.61	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	51c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	43c	74.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	65c	62.96$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	43c	56.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	47c	52.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Under	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.24	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over	44c	47.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-15.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over	46c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd18b…1e04backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	46c	43.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under	69c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	47c	35.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	56c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over	48c	29.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	46c	29.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under	53c	27.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Under	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	55c	24.09$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.84	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over	44c	23.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	53c	22.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	51c	22.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Under	56c	21.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+8.2wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1990…5358backed Over	62c	18.32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over	65c	18.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-18.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5this page
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Nets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5Over won
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5Over won
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5Under won
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 212.5Under won
Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nets won
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nets won
Terance Mann: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Terance Mann: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event