NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee985c4a686546bcc78d5bab7f3c5d8916e4bf5c8cfe82d7165c769f18d12a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 45c | 13,273$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.25 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Jazz | 55c | 10,741$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 55c | 6,895$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jazz | 55c | 4,635$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Warriors | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 51c | 2,969$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 45c | 1,154$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 54c | 999.93$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Warriors | 46c | 914.65$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Jazz | 55c | 719.93$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 46c | 499.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Warriors | 46c | 422$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Warriors | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 55c | 353.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 43c | 312.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 54c | 308.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Jazz | 21c | 199.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jazz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Warriors | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Warriors | 45c | 159.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 46c | 145.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Jazz | 56c | 143.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 44c | 134.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Warriors | 43c | 126$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Jazz | 49c | 123.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…ab6fbacked Jazz | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Warriors | 47c | 116.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Jazz | 56c | 112.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Warriors | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Jazz | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 47c | 88.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Warriors | 44c | 86.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 47c | 84.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Jazz | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…c93fbacked Jazz | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Warriors | 15c | 82.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Warriors | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…648bbacked Jazz | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 45c | 69.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz | 54c | 63.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…245dbacked Jazz | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Jazz | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Warriors | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jazz | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Warriors | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Jazz | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…20abbacked Jazz | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Jazz | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…f6e4backed Jazz | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Warriors | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…ed41backed Jazz | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 46c | 40.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Warriors | 45c | 40.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Warriors | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…ff78backed Warriors | 64c | 37.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Jazz | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…69d4backed Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Jazz | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…978abacked Jazz | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Jazz | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 53c | 33.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors | 47c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Warriors | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Jazz | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…40eabacked Jazz | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…3d27backed Jazz | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Jazz | 49c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 54c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…3642backed Jazz | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Jazz | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 50c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Jazz | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4436backed Jazz | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. JazzWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.