NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f565544c2e2ea91cbd576a0793795b3622fe945552cb6ef78b16afcdffee63c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 90,000$41,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,399.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over | 51c | 59,805$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,304.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 54c | 38,575$20,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,650.61 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 18,784$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 54c | 16,350$8,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,521 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 11,407$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 5,733$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 3,963$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 3,417$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.52 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,567$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 2,388$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 2,092$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 1,657$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.41 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 54c | 1,453$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 422.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 52c | 422.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 408$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Under | 49c | 407.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under | 49c | 339.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 49c | 302.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 157.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 141.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 141.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 133.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under | 45c | 90.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…2112backed Under | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 74.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 47c | 67.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 56.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 44c | 52.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 50.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Under | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…24bebacked Under | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 54c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 56c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. JazzWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.