Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4dc0647db9ba539b98842624a6067b548a738c68d7d9ad727f72442d60ede3b

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09b2…a017backed No	75c	2,906$2,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.68	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+146.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	50c	2,701$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.39	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	25c	1,111$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.75	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	668.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes	25c	560$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.52	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	64c	556.69$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.51	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes	24c	548.14$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.75	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes	10c	537.65$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	37c	536.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.2	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	62c	533.87$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.43	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	44c	511.52$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.76	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	52c	506.03$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3887…7f5bbacked No	41c	503.51$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.17	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No	47c	488.52$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.25	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	39c	482.3$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.42	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	26c	393$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.27	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	44c	370$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.99	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	56c	319.85$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.56	340	35%119 W · 221 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	23c	317.89$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.37	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	3c	316.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22e…074bbacked Yes	60c	292.01$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed24…3b45backed Yes	25c	281$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	26c	275$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes	31c	267.05$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.77	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No	68c	249.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	32c	249.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	79c	224.67$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.52	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	57c	218.45$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.18	335	38.8%130 W · 205 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	24c	209.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	35c	192.65$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.24	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	27c	192.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.24	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	44c	186.88$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.68	344	38.4%132 W · 212 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	41c	180$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.4	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	78c	155$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	51c	127.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.83	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	19c	127.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	71c	124.14$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.49	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	38c	114.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	113.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1d…aa25backed Yes	51c	110$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.9	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f21…33f5backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbe…41afbacked Yes	24c	94.08$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	78c	93.7$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.83	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	75c	93.02$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.29	339	37.5%127 W · 212 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	41c	91.81$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.83	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes	54c	90.84$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes	28c	86.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes	24c	83.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d9…5ad0backed Yes	33c	76.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	79c	74$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.78	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No	65c	67.01$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.71	70	67.1%47 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	38c	63.65$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	31c	60.32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.45	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8d…fd0dbacked Yes	31c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-5.5wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	24c	55.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed Yes	51c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb734…5f70backed Yes	41c	52.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	30c	51.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.78	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	31c	51.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03b3…9a65backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	32c	47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.05	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	67c	47$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	36c	44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10b…96d5backed Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e4…0babbacked Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b76…42d4backed Yes	77c	36.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes	31c	33.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1668…cf16backed Yes	55c	27.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes	41c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	49c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed No	50c	21.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.84	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	101	66.3%67 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c28…12dabacked Yes	70c	15.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Bukayo Saka win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Declan Rice win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Florian Wirtz win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Lamine Yamal win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Michael Olise win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Pedri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event