TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Lamine Yamal win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,773 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes8c1,807$149 inLost-$148.8988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes4c282.43$12 inLost-$12.3992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c266.44$14 inLost-$14.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8e…b6aabacked Yes15c149.78$22 inLost-$22.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+119.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No55c140.09$77 inWon+$63.2320250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes37c125.24$46 inLost-$46.0415722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes13c99.54$13 inLost-$12.566216.1%10 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No79c97.5$77 inWon+$20.292,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Yes12c89.39$11 inLost-$10.734946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c65$47 inWon+$17.662,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc26…6202backed Yes44c44$20 inLost-$19.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.