Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162827c15d6e0f6f8e01ec2a51d82fc8e3865348210f2265f15827c523563571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Under | 57c | 1,800$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 41c | 941.39$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 2,255 | 33.1%746 W · 1,509 L | -76.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 750$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 488 | 36.5%178 W · 310 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 44c | 339.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Under | 62c | 269.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 44c | 161.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Under | 56c | 105.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Under | 55c | 98.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…e478backed Under | 56c | 84.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,058 | 30.6%629 W · 1,429 L | -175.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Under | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +30.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Over | 44c | 40.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Under | 56c | 32.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,023 | 54.5%558 W · 465 L | +49.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 573 | 34.4%197 W · 376 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Under | 55c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 56c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsDeer Gaming won
- LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 WinnerDeer Gaming won
- LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerDeer Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.