TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x329d…5a92backed No75c666.61$500 inWon+$166.942,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No46c442.57$204 inWon+$238.4692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes8c338.75$28 inLost-$28.1788838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2bc…7bbebacked Yes8c303.38$24 inLost-$241020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe6…2769backed Yes62c242.43$150 inLost-$1503727%10 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Yes57c216.03$123 inLost-$123.144942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes8c179.79$15 inLost-$1516440.9%67 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c142.16$40 inLost-$39.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes15c133.24$20 inLost-$19.816216.1%10 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No46c123$57 inWon+$65.8615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf65…b3d9backed Yes60c105$63 inLost-$63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No65c82.81$54 inWon+$29.328256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No59c79.65$47 inWon+$32.9615158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No74c77.33$57 inWon+$20.167067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No39c50$20 inWon+$30.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes56c41.5$23 inLost-$23.2442737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes60c40.83$24 inLost-$24.575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No40c34.03$14 inWon+$20.423040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb734…5f70backed Yes60c34.03$20 inLost-$20.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes39c32.63$13 inLost-$12.6358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No44c23.74$10 inWon+$13.2738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No60c22$13 inWon+$8.7517558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed No80c21.39$17 inWon+$4.311060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.