Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815c61db99ec6dee7275f1bb885c98f7ea7c7e70ce6b4997e8df28490ce1d608

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	67c	3,068$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,045	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No	32c	1,342$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.29	373	50.1%187 W · 186 L	+45.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	33c	898.18$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.97	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	42c	832$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.69	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes	56c	764.29$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.59	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	38c	517.9$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.33	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f75…6c7ebacked Yes	68c	442.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe247…edf1backed Yes	56c	360.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.85	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+53%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes	52c	271.97$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.42	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	53c	250$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.5	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Yes	60c	241.48$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	48c	226.58$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.88	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	46c	215.29$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.98	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	39c	211.51$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.28	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9de6…e6f5backed No	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed No	36c	190.02$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.01	185	50.3%93 W · 92 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	55c	171$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.23	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	53c	166.04$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked Yes	56c	163.09$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	34c	140$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.4	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b97…9978backed Yes	73c	136.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	60%27 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No	49c	135$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.85	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes	64c	126.4$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.49	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No	42c	122$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.64	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No	33c	112.15$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.14	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed No	33c	103.74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.01	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked No	44c	88.39$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No	34c	88.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.34	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+12.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes	59c	88$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.92	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	27c	68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	32c	67.72$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.73	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e20…dd8abacked No	26c	65.16$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.22	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.30per pick	51cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No	37c	62.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.02	70	67.1%47 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	40c	53.75$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No	40c	53.55$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	235	58.3%137 W · 98 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes	58c	51.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	345	37.1%128 W · 217 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc12…f422backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	55c	49.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.11	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…9855backed Yes	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No	45c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	403	52.1%210 W · 193 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed No	46c	41.82$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b13…0440backed Yes	60c	41.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed No	38c	41$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.42	329	43.8%144 W · 185 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No	47c	40.04$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.22	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	73c	39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No	49c	36.48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.63	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…abcdbacked Yes	52c	34.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4c…f414backed No	45c	29.09$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	39c	28.06$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…bdc0backed No	46c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaba…a787backed No	41c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6d…fd62backed No	46c	24.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.07	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89a…aa35backed No	46c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77f3…a328backed No	46c	22.33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.06	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	60cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0006…2725backed Yes	52c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0268…28b9backed Yes	63c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No	56c	20.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.9	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…8aacbacked Yes	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event