CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189fd9882f02d399e11145aa912a3a396cd3e5a8fc4cafb2b09956a373fd5397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Inner Circle Prospect
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Inner Circle Prospect | 42c | 1,160$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 1,068$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked INOX Division | 59c | 908.1$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed INOX Division | 59c | 830$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed INOX Division | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…f90fbacked INOX Division | 60c | 794.86$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked INOX Division | 58c | 746.75$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.61 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…0406backed INOX Division | 57c | 728.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 585.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 41c | 555.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…dccfbacked INOX Division | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Inner Circle Prospect | 42c | 488.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed INOX Division | 59c | 479.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Inner Circle Prospect | 41c | 473.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed Inner Circle Prospect | 45c | 263.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 239.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 184$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…3602backed Inner Circle Prospect | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed INOX Division | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed INOX Division | 64c | 156.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed INOX Division | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 42c | 131.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed INOX Division | 70c | 131.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Inner Circle Prospect | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed INOX Division | 63c | 113.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Inner Circle Prospect | 29c | 103.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 44c | 91.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed INOX Division | 54c | 76.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed INOX Division | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Inner Circle Prospect | 42c | 70.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked INOX Division | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed INOX Division | 58c | 63.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Inner Circle Prospect | 37c | 53.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked INOX Division | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed INOX Division | 59c | 42.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed INOX Division | 58c | 40.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed INOX Division | 54c | 39.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…f744backed INOX Division | 66c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed INOX Division | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed INOX Division | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…4e68backed INOX Division | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked INOX Division | 56c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.