CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aaea84ee6c71ee3aad92767807fe5751045ea310f71ff32b8ed9971aed6bd78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof Inner Circle Prospect, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked INOX Division | 73c | 820$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Inner Circle Prospect | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 448 | 39.1%175 W · 273 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Inner Circle Prospect | 38c | 526.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle Prospect | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed INOX Division | 60c | 289.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed INOX Division | 75c | 242.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INOX Division | 74c | 238.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed INOX Division | 64c | 224.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked INOX Division | 64c | 188.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 64c | 181.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 26c | 137.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed INOX Division | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division | 48c | 131$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked INOX Division | 50c | 125.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 22c | 111.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked INOX Division | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked INOX Division | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…50d8backed Inner Circle Prospect | 55c | 87.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed INOX Division | 13c | 86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Prospect | 24c | 84.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked INOX Division | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Inner Circle Prospect | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Inner Circle Prospect | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed INOX Division | 47c | 60.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed INOX Division | 42c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed INOX Division | 78c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…106cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 32c | 37.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Inner Circle Prospect | 52c | 32.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Prospect | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked INOX Division | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed INOX Division | 73c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.